Free Speech and Bullying in the Public Domain - thoughts on how to confront this conflict of interest

Free Speech



Free Speech is a Responsibility, it is neither an automatic Right to a free-for-all nor is it a Privilege.

The Responsibility: that when speaking to the commons, the shared space between us all we speak truthfully, transparently and  honestly, we speak to the commons and be attentive to be evidence based, to be as good a listener as a speaker and to acknowledge what is verified, reliable and true as such, and to also acknowledge beliefs as made up, as guess-work at the very best. This responsibility is absolutely critical in any matter that concerns the welfare of millions or billions of people who share the commons. It is a fundamental humane duty of care, and cannot be abrogated.

Free Speech is not a right to promote beliefs over evidence in action on matters concerning the shared commons, the welfare of people and their lives.

Free Speech is not a right to groom, manipulate or exploit others through use of language and various logical fallacies.

Lots of very clever abusive people hide behind Free Speech - the correct way to deal with that is to identify what is being done, name the precise tactic, the logical fallacies, the half truths, twists and spins and show how they inform the agenda that is being driven, and to do so in full transparency.

This blog is a REALLY useful in helping with this.

https://politicsandinsights.org/2015/01/22/how-bullying-works-projection-and-scapegoating/

"Very few people, when put to the test, have the integrity and moral courage to stand up against bullying, harassment, abuse, threats and corruption. The targets of adult bullying are selected often because they DO have the moral courage to challenge; many people will pass by on the other side.

A target of adult bullying is most often chosen because of their strength, not their weakness

Research shows
 that targets of bullying tend to have highly developed empathy, and sensitivity for others, a high degree of perceptiveness, high moral values, a well-developed integrity, a strong sense of fair play and reasonableness, a low propensity to violence, a reluctance to pursue grievance, disciplinary or legal action, a strong forgiving streak and a mature understanding of the need to resolve conflict with dialogue. 

Often,
 targets of bullying are independent, self-reliant and “different” in some way. Weak people often disingenuously confuse these hallmarks of character with weakness.

Bullies aim to inflict psychological injury more often than physical injury. Their main aim is to control, discredit, isolate and eliminate their target."

It is vital, therefore, that all decent humane people who wish to participate, contribute and engage with the deliberations on how we deal with matters that concern our collective welfare (and our individual well being) are educated to become adept at this process of confronting the tactical arsenal that bullies, ideologues, demagogues, populists and others with malign intent bring when they present their theses in the public domain, such that they are clearly identified, their tactics exposed, their activity inhibited, disabled and prevented in the first instance, thus protecting the commons from avoidable harm. 

Our collective safety and sanity demand nothing less.

Kindest regards

 Corneilius

"Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."

Letter to the Editor : Zero Community Transmission - a plea for logic, evidence and humanity

 

 

To the Editor

Everything we are seeing suggests, yet again, that the only viable strategy is zero community transmission. If the virus cannot meet a new host it cannot learn new tricks, and it dies out. Simple enough. 

Complex to organise, yes. But not complicated. Prevents death and long term chronic disease? Yes! Reduces variants? Yes!

Expensive? Yes. (ish) Cheaper than cycles of open/lockdown? Yes! Worth it? Yes! Safe? Yes!

Compare the outcomes for New Zealand, Vietnam, South Korea  with those of UK, USA, Brazil, France or Germany.

Stopping the Spread is Spreading the Love.

Can we please unite behind a workable zero community transmission strategy, now that the evidence is tragically and so shockingly clear?

Yours Sincerely,

Corneilius Crowley


Please withhold my address and phone number.

Published here

Ps. for my readers:

Survivors Bias is worth looking into, as a fundamental logical fallacy


"Survivorship bias or survival bias is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that made it past some selection process and overlooking those that did not, typically because of their lack of visibility. This can lead to some false conclusions in several different ways. It is a form of selection bias."

This is something I have suffered from throughout my life - it leads to assuming personal traits where the outcome was actually a matter of luck, and little else.

The survivorship bias is uttterly toxic to this situation, (SARSCOV2 spread and COVID19 Disease) and is the basis os most of the ConTheory narrative - it is also the basis for assesments of the British Empire as a 'good thing all things considered' aming other things. Discounting the lived experience of those who do not survive, (death by covid19 is terrifying, painful and often lonely) and those who survive and who are traumatised, or exposed to lives of chronic illness thereafter must be opposed at every turn. To mask or diminish the reality and meaning, the qualitative data of those lived experiences is simply unacceptable behaviour.

Letter to Media : Protecting the vulnerable, defining abuse, inhibiting exploitation.



To the editor,

I propose a discussion about establishing a legal definition of a behaviour that we are all too familiar with.

“Organised operations that target peoples cognitive biases, their social wounded-nesses, their insecurities, prejudices and worries, their misunderstandings, cultural conditioning and fears, and do that through public and social media, through marketing, propaganda and media campaigns operating as cottage industries or at an industrial scale, intentionally targeting and manipulating vulnerable people for ideological, religious, political or economic advantage.”

This behaviour is grooming.

If we had legislation defining this, and then criminalising it because it is intentional exploitation of human vulnerability and thus it is a profound abuse, then media platforms would be unable to permit any publishing of such content on their platforms, and it would be impossible then to exploit as a revenue stream.”

Yours etc…

Re-opening whilst community transmission persists guarantees future lockdowns, more avoidable deaths, more variants, more harm


The question is simple - the economic costs of zero community transmission strategy and quarantine borders vs the human and economic costs of slow spread towards herd immunity, with repeated cycles of re-opening and shut down as the viral infection spreads in waves.


 a stark  and accurate depiction of the social material reality

Re-opening while we still have not fully suppressed community transmission of this virus guarantees that there will be more adverse lockdowns, more avoidable deaths,  more economic and psychological harm caused to the people - a harm that will not impact the comfortable middle class, the millionaires, multi-millionaires and billionaires as much as it will harm the people who live on low income, no income, the elderly, the disabled, the millions of people with long term chronic disease conditions and all those low paid workers who work providing 'essential services', who cannot be allowed to 'work from home'....

The push for 'exit strategy' and 'exit dates' is epidemiological nonsense, it is economically incoherent blather, it is socially and materially toxic.

Full suppression of community transmission, supported by intensely effective cluster control is the only viable option that meets the full duty of care of Government to the people. That is not set by date, but by results and results alone.

Here's three articles exploring this theme. 

https://bylinetimes.com/2021/01/25/how-uk-can-fix-pandemic-suppress-vaccinate-eliminate/

"The virus has few options for survival in the world. It cannot last long on surfaces or in the air, the vast majority of human hosts will successfully kill off the virus within two to three weeks of infection and a small minority will die with it.


The Pattern is clear - we must break it.

Either way, the virus has a very small window to reach a new host or perish. No new human hosts means no more virus. This is why elimination is not only biologically possible, but has already been achieved in many countries around the world.

We must suppress the virus as the population is immunised. As vaccination occurs, lockdown measures become more effective, and the rate of transmission (the ‘R’) falls further still. And as we come into the spring and summer, we gain the additional advantages of better weather, better ventilation and easier outdoor gatherings."

and

https://dwylcorneilius.blogspot.com/2020/04/eradication-argument-for-eradication.html

"If the Government were to move immediately to stopping the spread with an eye to eradication, we could clear the infection within three months.

https://bylinetimes.com/2020/04/01/the-coronavirus-crisis-eight-week-suppression-strategy-could-stop-covid-19-in-its-tracks-says-ex-who-director/

We have the resources, we have the people, we have the desire - but do the Government share this vision?

The aim is to find all infection routes and to chase them down to where everyone infected is known and observed, and no new infections are starting - when the virus runs out of new hosts, it vanishes in that population. Quarantine must be fully implemented upon all incoming  and returning domestic and international air, sea and land travel. Even from Northern Ireland."


and

https://dwylcorneilius.blogspot.com/2020/04/eradicating-virus-protecting-herd-or.html

"By slowing down rather than stopping the spread of infection the UK government are guaranteeing that the bulk of the population will become infected and the mortality rate for vulnerable people will stay the same, it will just happen more slowly.

The 'shut-down' policy was sold as an attempt to ensure NHS and other health services do not collapse under a 'short term' burden.  They ordered the isolation of all elderly people and known cases of immune compromised chronic conditions, without any provision to protect them from the spread.

That theory was destroyed by the lack of PPE, shortages of trained staff, lack of other supplies, kit and logistical support which the Government was warned about, in detail, from Operation Cygnus in 2016 and throughout January 2020. All deliberate choices by this Government and it's predecessors.

The UK Government had time to prepare, they had the time to stop and check and quarantine the inflow of infected people from abroad,  via air travel and cruises, and land be they immigrants, returning holiday makers or business travellers.

Merely slowing down the spread of infection is exactly what the Chinese, Korean, Singaporean  and Taiwanese Governments did NOT contemplate - they went for eradication - find every case, quarantine all contacts, treat everyone who is symptomatic in isolation hospitals, maintain vigilance, deal with outbreaks rapidly until no new cases emerge after two months."


Whatever it takes, we must not allow a repeat of the re-open while community transmission is ongoing leading to inevitable exponential spread and further lockdowns to happen. Again.

Each lockdown is an admission of failure to act correctly to suppress the virus within the community.

http://zerocovid.uk/2021/01/13/uk-government-sinks-to-new-low-on-covid/ 

"Matt Hancock says that a Zero Covid strategy is not feasible for the UK.  Priti Patel, with the collusion of the mass media, blames the public recalcitrance for the unfolding catastrophe.  These are the twin strands of a state narrative that is preparing us for the next wave in its strategy, which will plumb new depths of callousness: fully opening up the economy once the most vulnerable are vaccinated, and allowing the virus to rip unimpeded through the rest of the population.

Dangerous

This strategy is highly dangerous for two reasons: allowing the virus to spread without hindrance increases the risk of further mutations, one of which might well be resistant to the vaccines, and it exposes tens of millions of people to potential long term health risks that are still not fully understood.

Hancock is wrong to dismiss the possibility of eliminating this virus.  New Zealand has now lifted all restrictions, having achieved zero transmission.  Vietnam, with a population of 90 million, and Taiwan, with a population density higher than that of the UK, have all successfully pursued elimination strategies.   If it can be done there, it can be done everywhere."

and

The government’s mantra on Covid-19 should be: “Get it down, keep it down, and keep it out”, writes Professor Gabriel Scally in The Guardian.

“There can be no such thing as a partial quarantine. Either it is comprehensive and effective, or it will fail. A differential approach based on country of origin is undermined by the difficulty of accurately ascertaining where arrivals have come from.”

Every country has a duty of care to every other country during a pandemic to neither export or import the infectious virus. UK Government, specifically the Westminster Ruling Faction,  has deliberately failed that duty of care. Deliberately. Not an accident, not incompetence.

Vaccines and Variants and the costs of deliberate slow spread policy..

Vaccines have been oversold as the pandemic exit strategy. This is a point I have made a number of times. The rush to Vaccine is in part an admission of the failure to adopt a zero community transmission strategy. It offers hope where ZCT offers a degree of certainty. Hope, in this case, kills.

The Financial Times published this piece, and it is a relief to see it.

https://www.ft.com/content/17c44c96-39f2-4ada-badd-d65815b0a521

"If regions with raging transmission do act as breeding grounds for resistant variants, then failing to control spread will prolong the pandemic. Prof de Oliveira stresses that Taiwan, China, Australia and New Zealand, which have chased elimination, are the role models to follow. “This should be a wake-up call for all of us to control transmission, not just in our own regions but globally. This virus will keep outsmarting us if we don’t take it very seriously,” he says.

That means not just vaccinating but fast testing, accurate and quick contact tracing, quarantine and isolation. In short, vaccination must go hand-in-hand with virus suppression, not become a substitute for it. A successful vaccine rollout will count for little if the country then becomes a crucible for resistant variants"

The Kent Variant tells us something about tourism, international travel the need for effective, tight quarantine and the need to reduce the amount of people who become exposed to the virus - every new case is a possibility of the virus making new adaptations that we really do not need to be seeing.

Update February 13th - a very useful twitter thread written by Deepti Gurdasani, 
Senior Lecturer, Queen Mary University London in epidemiology, statistical genetics, machine learning, where she speaks about being invited undertake interviews and panel discussions with the BBC, LBC and others and finds that not only is she effectively censored, the subject of zero community transmission is being deliberately omitted from all discussions on the COVID19 crisis (catastrophe). In the thread she works through the full scope of the meaning of zero community transmission vs slow spread towards 'herd immunity' and outlines the evidence on either side of this 'debate'. It is worth reading it through. The question is simple - the economic costs of zero community transmission strategy and quarantine borders vs the human and economic costs of slow spread towards herd immunity, with repeated cycles of re-opening and shut down as the viral infection spreads in waves.





Kindest regards

Corneilius

 "Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."




A Reminder - Herd Immunity : the Strategic Positioning of Johnson and The Ruling Faction.

A reminder of how this all started 




"letting some light into a darkened room"

Johnson, his advisors and the Cabinet, and indeed the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer and Parliament have never 'taken responsibility'.

Johnson is the self styled economic Superman, who publicly rejected all 'medically irrational' response to the Corona Virus, on February 3rd, 

"We are starting to hear some bizarre autarkic rhetoric, when barriers are going up, and when there is a risk that new diseases such as coronavirus will trigger a panic and a desire for market segregation that go beyond what is medically rational to the point of doing real and unnecessary economic damage, then at that moment humanity needs some government somewhere that is willing at least to make the case powerfully for freedom of exchange, some country ready to take off its Clark Kent spectacles and leap into the phone booth and emerge with its cloak flowing as the supercharged champion, of the right of the populations of the earth to buy and sell freely among each other."

His own words, his own speech.

And a month later, on the morning of March 5th he suggested, with a smirk on his face that revealed the lie, that he had dropped the idea of Herd Immunity, one of the 'theories' which 'had been debated'. Then he says 'I think we need to strike a balance' which does not imply stopping the spread, which is what all the East Asian states had chosen, what New Zealand had chosen, and what others were choosing. What then is the balance between stopping the spread and allowing it to rip through the population - it is trying to manage a slow spread (which was known then to be impossible, and has since been proven three times to be the case, and we are at c.20% of population infected with 80% still at risk.)

transcript :

"Philip Schofield: Is the delay essentially trying to spread this out so it doesn’t all happen at once and overwhelm the NHS, and that you can actually delay it into perhaps the summer when it’s a little bit quieter and the ordinary flu might have died down a wee bit, is that what you’re doing?

Boris Johnson: Well it’s a very, very important question, and that’s where a lot of the debate has been and one of the theories is, that perhaps you could take it on the chin, take it all in one go and allow the disease, as it were, to move through the population, without taking as many draconian measures. I think we need to strike a balance, I think it is very important, we’ve got a fantastic NHS, we will give them all the support that they need, we will make sure that they have all preparations, all the kit that they need for us to get through it. But I think it would be better if we take all the measures that we can now to stop the peak of the disease being as difficult for the NHS as it might be, I think there are things that we may be able to do."

Watch his careful denial.


Following that appearance on morning TV, all his main advisors spoke in the following days about reaching herd immunity - all of them knowing there was no viable vaccine available in any reasonable time horizon, and that Herd Immunity as a concept only applied to a vaccination program, it has no Public Health meaning outside that context- as if it were possible and a in the long term a good thing.

Sir Patrick Valence  :13th March

Professor John Edmunds, SAGE : 13th March

SKY NEWS : Explaining Herd Immunity as part of the Government's Strategy.

23rd of March Chris Whitty and Sir Patrick Valence cite 'Mathematical Studies' and 'Behavioural Science' as informing Government Policy, with no mention of a Zero Community Transmission Strategy that had been proven in Wuhan, South Korea, Taiwan, SIngapore, Hong Kong and was being proven in New Zealand....

So whilst they claim to have rejected a Herd Immunity strategy, the social material reality is that every single policy position that have taken has been designed to allow slow spread - which is a tacit acceptance of Herd Immunity as a target.



It is impossible to control a slow spread of an infectious aerosol carried disease, and they all knew this all along. any attempt to do so guarantees that there will be surges that demand shutdowns. Opening after shutting down without eliminating community transmission absolutely guarantees that there will be another surge.

The only way to control it is to stop it, to suppress the virus and eliminate community transmission. Then keep in place rapid, efficient locally driven cluster control systems to ensure any new outbreaks are dealt with. it also requires tightly controlled quarantine borders.

These are all relatively simple mechanisms. They make demands of Government to ensure all the people are well informed, never misinformed. They make demands on Government to support all the people through the process, including lockdowns when they have lost control of community transmission.

Evidence of intentionality

The UK Government, the Ruling Faction (that includes all the media, news broadcasters and pundits, the anti-maskers, anti-vaxxers, the right wing grooming operations) have never adopted a zero community transmission strategy

The Great Barrington Declaration promoters in the UK had a meeting with Johnson in September, which resulted in delays to closing schools, which led to more spread of the virus. Teachers infections rates were +300% more than their local areas.

The Spectator publishes a lie - claiming there is no Scientific Consensus, claiming that the scientists behind the Great Barrington Declaration represent a split in the virology, epidemiology and public health science communities. 

An astroturf campaign - USforTHEM funded by US NeoLiberal think tanks, co-ordinated by Conservative party back benchers, promoting herd immunity and opposing school closures, smaller class sizes and other mitigations of spread whose efforts have fed into Johnsons policy positions.

This is ALL deliberate action - at this level it cannot be described as incompetence.

Billionaires in the UK have made an extra £25 billion in the past year.

The Crony Contracts have created many, many newly minted multi millionaires.




Ask your self now - what must be done to resolve this situation?



another deliberate play



one of these politicians is honest, the other is a political grooming gangster - the different outcomes speak volumes.

Kindest regards 

Corneilius 

 "Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."