Showing posts with label sarscov2. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sarscov2. Show all posts

Choice and Freedom: Wear a mask, be kind, stay safe, stop the spread, spread the Love.

Choice and Freedom

If I am free to choose, and if my choice causes harm to another person, a harm that they then cannot avoid, what then, of their freedom? My choice has removed their freedom to be free of harm.



What of mine?

You - yes... you, the person who might be reading this and might be thinking, "I will not wear a mask! My freedom to choose matters!"

I guarantee that you did not come up with the freedom of choice agenda about wearing/not wearing a mask, in this epidemic and global pandemic, all on your own - someone whispered it into your digital ear.

You did not originate that thought yourself. I know this. You know it too.

Thinking is more than having thoughts. It involves following those thoughts through, and examining them in depth, testing them against what you already know to be true.

Hierarchy, and Hitler was a Lefty!

Hitler was a violent Hierarch. The organisation he headed up had Socialist in it's name.  Everyone knows the Nazi ideology was anti-socialism. Stalin was not a socialist either, he was a military dictator. Churchill was also a military dictator, albeit guided by a military committee.

Perhaps within a hierarchy of violence system, everyone is a fascist, by default.

Not because they want to be, but because there are no truly egalitarian operations happening within this system. No place to be egalitarian.

We all pay rent to someone.

Perhaps that's really difficult to really look at.

Every Hierarchy of Power and Violence is just that, whether we call it Nazi, Communist, Democracy, Monarchy, Gang, Abuse Family, Religious State, Empire, Federation or Union.

It's all the same blood spattered room, just a different pattern of wallpaper.

Hierarchy systems have to condition the people to habituate to being exploited, to see the system as normal.

No child left behind.

Everyone must be educated! Self education is considered a threat, so much so that education is mandatory in many countries, truancy is a crime.

Perhaps everybody within a hierarchy system who seeks to reform the system with a better hierarchy is a deluded fascist, deluded in that hierarchies always produce people who want to topple the hierarchy, which creates an inevitable tension that causes those in charge to exercise violence to maintain their version of the status quo. For your own good, they say to the people at large.

Egalitarian cultures are healthy cultures, the biological default is trust..

“In other words, the default state is to trust, and what the amygdala does is learn vigilance and distrust.”
― Robert M. Sapolsky, Behave: The Biology of Humans at Our Best and Worst

The context of this statement by Sapolsky is that we are sensitive, vulnerable babies who learn by experience, that our behaviour is mostly learned. Very little of our behaviour is predetermined. And the science suggests strongly that the default state, the base line of healthy behaviour resolves around trust.

“The brain is heavily influenced by genes. But from birth through young adulthood, the part of the human brain that most defines us (frontal cortex) is less a product of the genes with which you started life than of what life has thrown at you. 

Because it is the least constrained by genes and most sculpted by experience. This must be so, to be the supremely complex social species that we are. Ironically, it seems that the genetic program of human brain development has evolved to, as much as possible, free the frontal cortex from genes.”

 Robert M. Sapolsky, Behave: The Biology of Humans at Our Best and Worst

Cults and Clubs.

Hierarchy cultures are cults  - they have to dominate every child's mind and psyche, they have to habituate everyone to the 'normalcy' of hierarchy...

Left/right is just a set piece, a clever ploy, a distraction that is meaningless in that it does not lead to the kind of healthy change we need, it impedes learning and healing.

Marx's theories would still have led to workers destroying the planet.

NeoLiberalism is destroying the planet just as assuredly as Chinese Socialist Capitalism is.

Perhaps.

To me it does not make bio-logical sense to 'create' a species that is dysfunctional.

It makes more sense to say that a functional species placed under chronic stress will become dysfunctional.

Fact: an aboriginal body in a rain forest is as evolved for egalitarian relationships as my body in London.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/gb/blog/freedom-learn/201105/how-hunter-gatherers-maintained-their-egalitarian-ways

"We citizens of a modern democracy claim to believe in equality, but our sense of equality is not even close to that of hunter-gatherers. 

The hunter-gatherer version of equality meant that each person was equally entitled to food, regardless of his or her ability to find or capture it; so food was shared. It meant that nobody had more wealth than anyone else; so all material goods were shared. 

It meant that nobody had the right to tell others what to do; so each person made his or her own decisions. 

It meant that even parents didn't have the right to order their children around; hence the non-directive childrearing methods that I have discussed in previous posts. It meant that group decisions had to be made by consensus; hence no boss, "big man," or chief."

The difference is the culture.

In terms of sensory capacity, in terms of the capability to be loving and of being loved, in terms of creativity and intelligence required to build shelter, to find food, the energy and effort to care for children and elders we are precisely and beautifully evolved,  and bio-logically adapted for healthy relationships.

The difference is the culture you grow up within, and what it tells you about how you 'should' behave and what to expect.

I live in London, the cultural center of a hierarchy of power and violence.

No such hierarchy persists in old growth rain forest.

Peter Gray, again, explains it another way:  https://www.psychologytoday.com/gb/blog/freedom-learn/201105/human-nature-teaching-ii-how-hunter-gatherers-taught

"As I explained in that earlier post, hunter-gatherers had faith that their children would, on their own initiatives, learn what they needed to know, and so they did not worry about their children's education or attempt to control it. 

Moreover, hunter-gatherers held strongly to the values of personal autonomy and equality. They believed that it is wrong for anyone to try to control another person's life, either in the short run or the long run, even if that other person is a child.  Hunter-gatherers believed that it is presumptuous for anyone to think that they know what is best for another person."

For most of us habituated to hierarchies of power systems thinking, this is all idealist and dangerous nonsense. But is it?

Obviously any transition from where we, in this Industrialised Hierarchy of Power and Violence culture, are towards a culture approaching that degree of mature kindness is going to be a rather large undertaking, yet that does not mean it is impossible, does it?

Wear a mask, be  kind, stay safe, stop the spread, spread the love.


Kindest regards

Corneilius

"Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."

Fan Cang Fever Hospitals vs Nightingale Hospitals and the UK Care Home Infection Rate.

Fan Cang Fever Hospitals vs Nightingale Hospitals and the UK Care Home Infection Rate.




When the Chinese Government started their shut down in Wuhan in order to confront the uncontrolled spread of the viral infection via community transmission in public spaces, public transport, work spaces, markets, shopping malls and so forth, they discovered that people self  treating at home, in families and in apartment complexes where there are shared areas, lifts, hallways, gardens etc were also spreading the infection and were, within the shut down, the biggest spreaders of infection by every measure.


This is referred to in the WHO final report of February 23rd, and in reports in The Lancet and other news media. We all saw video footage of the build and time-lapse videos of the newly built temporary hospitals. It was a major news story world wide.

Some western media even said it was only possible because the Chinese Government is an Authoritarian Dictatorship, and it couldn't possibly happen in Western democracies. Some people will always attempt to exploit emergent vulnerabilities, or avoid their responsibilities as did some Wuhan officials in the early days of the outbreak.

When the Chinese Authorities and Health Care Officials initiated the shut-down and they were running contact tracing as part of that process they were on a learning curve. That is how they discovered the super spreading nature of self treatment of mild symptoms at home. Family groups with many generations across a number of  close by houses, and apartment blocks where many people were moving in and out every day.

Fever Hospitals

In order to resolve that problem, the Chinese health Authorities then moved rapidly to build Fever or Shelter Hospitals to treat every new case presenting with mild symptoms as early as possible, with best available support.

They also set up local community isolation observation wards, for contacts of case traces, where people could be quarantined and observed in order to maximise earliest possible treatment.

They combined these temporary hospitals with extended contact trace, quarantine and isolated treatment programs.

Quarantined contacts were told "as soon as you get symptoms, come to the fever clinics, we will test you for all fever inducing illnesses, just to check. If you have covid19 we will treat you, give you the best support to not go severe/critical." (the Chinese health practitioners used vit c, vit d, chinese herbs, modern medicines and good food and good, consistent care, exercise and social activities to keep morale up.)

This clear advice and logistical support gave the people the security they needed to really engage with the protocol of suppression of transmission leading to eliminating the virus from within the population.

This helped to stop the spread, it reduced the number of cases that progressed to severe or critical, it protected established hospitals from overflow, and it allowed the Chinese authorities to expand already existing ICU from those already existing sites, where it was much easier to train new staff and maintain ICU coverage.

In Wuhan they built 14,000 new bed spaces over a matter of weeks drawing in medical professionals from the Chinese Military and from Hospitals all over China. They also applied the same policy to every local outbreak across China.  Because it is an eminently sensible approach to managing this epidemic.

Learning from experience?


Compare this to the UK approach - shutting down the Health System to become a COVDI19 system,  ditching all non-elective surgeries, building extra intubation hospitals that were never fully utilised because they were not needed, they were not the appropriate facility for helping to stop the spread of the virus and which were also permanently understaffed. Had the Government studied the Chinese effort and followed that approach, tens of thousands of lives could have been protected.

Whilst at the same time sending thousands of people from hospitals where COVDI19 illness was present, without testing those patients being discharged, in spite of repeated Government assurances that testing would be carried out.

The reckless lunacy of ordering Hospitals to send potentially infectious cases out into the community and into care homes, where they inevitably spread the infection lethal effect - from where more cases lacking supportive treatment went into severe and critical condition, many then needing urgent emergency ICU treatment in NHS hospitals. Many, many thousands died in the care homes without such interventions. Palliative medicine use in care homes surged during those awful months. 

A basic principle of good public health is to learn from the failures and the successes of others facing the same health problem.

Learning from experience, from others failures and their successes.

A number of British and European Public Health professionals issued a report, published in The Lancet on February 19. This is what they said:

"We are public health scientists who have closely followed the emergence of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and are deeply concerned about its impact on global health and wellbeing. We have watched as the scientists, public health professionals, and medical professionals of China, in particular, have worked diligently and effectively to rapidly identify the pathogen behind this outbreak, put in place significant measures to reduce its impact, and share their results transparently with the global health community. This effort has been remarkable.
We sign this statement in solidarity with all scientists and health professionals in China who continue to save lives and protect global health during the challenge of the COVID-19 outbreak. We are all in this together, with our Chinese counterparts in the forefront, against this new viral threat."

The WHO were in country in China, and were in the process of taking evidence for a final report on the Wuhan situation at the same time. They were in China between 14th and 24rd of February, and this is from their final report.
"Achieving China’s exceptional coverage with and adherence to these containment measures has only been possible due to the deep commitment of the Chinese people to collective action in the face of this common threat.

At a community level this is reflected in the remarkable solidarity of provinces and cities in support of the most vulnerable populations and communities. Despite ongoing outbreaks in their own areas, Governors and Mayors have continued to send thousands of health care workers and tons of vital PPE supplies into Hubei province and Wuhan city.

At the individual level, the Chinese people have reacted to this outbreak with courage and conviction. They have accepted and adhered to the starkest of containment measures – whether the suspension of public gatherings, the month-long ‘stay at home’ advisories or prohibitions on travel.
Throughout an intensive 9-days of site visits across China, in frank discussions from the level of local community mobilizers and frontline health care providers to top scientists, Governors and Mayors, the Joint Mission was struck by the sincerity and dedication that each brings to this COVID-19 response."
and

"
China’s bold approach to contain the rapid spread of this new respiratory pathogen has changed the course of a rapidly escalating and deadly epidemic. A particularly compelling statistic is that on the first day of the advance team’s work there were 2478 newly confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported in China. Two weeks later, on the final day of this Mission, China reported 409 newly confirmed cases. This decline in COVID-19 cases across China is real."

This begs the question - Why did the UK Government, SAGE and Public Health England ignore the experience and learning from real lived social and material data and evidence from the Chinese handling of the epidemic?
Herd Immunity

The UK Government made deliberate choices to not do that, to not learn from the experience of others and what is worse is that they created novel policies that exacerbated the spread of the infection, that led to more deaths than if they had adopted and adapted the  public health protocols that were already proven to work so well.

At every stage, the UK Government has avoided what works, and pushed policies that have failed, repeatedly. The UK Government has also lie about the data, the evidence, their actions and outcomes. This all goes beyond mere incompetence. The only logical assumption is that the UK Government's initial stance of 'herd immunity' still stands and is being defended with every step, using every tool in the Governments hands.

'Herd Immunity' on their terms is reached when 60% of population have been infected - the claim is at that level of infection the entire population is protected from a second wave next winter.




The price to be paid is 400,000 excess deaths or early deaths of already ill people. The price to be paid is the destruction of small business in favour of corporate business. The price to be paid is mass unemployment.The price to be paid is destruction of self-employment within the UK. The price to be paid is multiple waves of infection surges, a punishing cycle of shut-down, open up, shut-down, open up.

Care Homes

In the UK NHS hospitals were turning away people presenting with mild yet uncomfortable symptoms, which were sent back home to self treat. I have heard and been part of a few anecdotal stories of people I know whose relatives were quite ill, did the phone consultation, went into hospital, were checked, and given a confirmed, non-tested diagnosis and sent home to self treat. One case I know of through family connections was an elderly male, with severe chest pains who was prescribed opiates for the pain, and then sent home to self isolate.  Fortunately he has recovered. His family remain well.

Likewise there are plenty of cases of elderly patients who were known to have the infection and were were sent back to care homes. Both of these were policies decided by Government and NHS senior management. Both led to exacerbation of symptomatic cases and excess deaths in many cases.

11,500 deaths and rising with the UK Care home systems, and we have no way of accounting for the numbers of excess deaths from people who died at home, or who went from home to intensive care, having been sent home with symptoms in the first place.

There are questions that must be asked, and answered. Incompetence is one thing, callous indifference another.

We deserve much, much better. The vulnerable people within the UK Health systems, private and public alike deserved much more than merely better - they deserve the fullest logistical and human resourced protections possible. It cannot be a matter of budget if as a State this state is also considering 250 billion spend on it's Nuclear 'Deterrent'.

Kindest regards

Corneilius

"Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."

Be Alert!. Bullies Exploit Emerging Vulnerabilities.



"The grooming (gaslighting) of human vulnerability is one of most vile things any human being can do to another."



BE ALERT!

It will take 2 to 6 weeks for the first clear signs of a surge in infections to become apparent..


The UK Government is gambling with your lives.

Only if you allow them to.

Stay home, tell your boss to think about the legal action you will be forced to take if he or she demands you return, or offers to fire you if you do not.

Do not send your children to school, do not demand more teachers place themselves at risk, furlough is not an easy money free ride, it is a protective measure.

Do not be bullied.

There is a local epidemic, here in the UK. 


We are called upon to be alert. Then let us be alert. Let us pay close attention to the implications, the masked threats, the veiled insinuations.

The virus is real. The infection is not a hoax. 
Viruses are not bullies. Hoaxers are bullies. Some bullies will be attempting to exploit the situations created by this  viral infection and the disease it causes. Bullying can be described as using any form of power disparity to manipulate or coerce others to meet the needs of the entity with the greater power.

David Icke is a bully. Alex Jones is a bully. Both are exploiting people's fears and insecurities, their rage and hatreds and emotional reactions to sell books, to sell product, to market a brand, to build a cult following. That is a form of bullying, it is psychological bullying. Donald Trump is a bully.  Trumplestiltskin - the public persona is that of The Bully's Bully. The Bully for all Seasons. I will stamp my feet if I do not get my own way!

They are not alone in this. Brexit was a similar dynamic, with Boris Johnson at the very core of that behavioural dynamic, which I have previously described as political grooming. Nigel Farage stating that in his opinion street violence would be understandable if people did not get their own way. Straight bananas.

Hoax? What hoax? 


SARSCOV2 is a genuine, naturally evolved 
virus (if you take in the impact of harvesting wild animals for meat, and stocking them, live, in a meat market where stress and stock conditions can mean a virus can be passed from one creature to another in ways that would not normally occur, but can, and did, and is then transferred to a human by contact, where it finds access to cells and replicates and is then transmitted to another human being).


COVID19 is the disease caused when the virus enters a human host and uses the hosts cells to replicate, so that it can then be coughed or breathed out in tiny droplets of moist breath, to infect a new human host.

The process of using the hosts cells to make millions of copies of itself destroys those cells, and that is what causes the various disease breakdowns that can cause fatality.  Some people's immune systems cannot cope with that,  often because they are already suffering a chronic disease. Some people's immune system fails, even though they appear to be healthy. It's a risk for everyone, albeit greater for those who are already ill. We have no vaccine, and none on any reasonable time horizon.

If your lung cells are destroyed, you cannot breathe in oxygen, or breathe out carbon dioxide, and that causes lots of problems for most of your bodies organs. There's more to it than that. That is not the point of this short piece. Infectious diseases can cause terrible damage especially when we have no natural immunity and no vaccine and not curative treatment.

There is a pandemic (which is concurrent epidemics happening at the same time in different countries). This is now a global issue. 7 billion and more are involved in this. We are all in this together. It is in the air we breathe. Breathe in, breath out, spread it all about.


There is no vaccine. There is no vaccine in sight. I repeat myself. The promise of a vaccine is an empty promise. And in the next paragraph I will outline one reason why some people are floating it as a strategy with imminent potential right now. It is a delaying tactic. I think Bill Gates naivety is being exploited. I don't think he is evil. Nonetheless, there are those whose intentions are evil; predatory intent among humans is evil. We all know about predatory lending practices. Some people are clearly attempting to exploit the situation of this pandemic.

A slow spread policy avoids taking the kinds of action what would demand a Government supports a population through the process of stopping the spread, suppressing the virus and eradicating it from any given population.

For some ideologues funding the incomes of workers, (as opposed to  bailing out hedge funds and investment bankers), is considered an evil greater than the virus's impact on vulnerable people. The people might become addicted to the free money. I have written on this blog quite recently about the historical resonance of British political masters and their fear, their disdain, their hatred for helping the poor, the vulnerable.  The UN has chastised the UK Government for it's inhumane mistreatment of disabled people seeking states support to live in dignity.

Priti Patel, Sir Iain Duncan Smith, Sir Charles Trevelyan are quoted in my previous piece on the historical behaviour pattern I have observed resonating through this epidemic.


Some predatory Governments, Hedge Funds and others such as Rees-Mogg will attempt to exploit the local and global epidemics - buy low, sell high! How can we make a 'killing'?  Can we use this to acquire more power? What economic gains can we make from this crisis?

The UN calls for a global cease fire, the USA denies the motion because the WHO exists, because China exists and because both have done, and are doing, immense work to stop the spread, suppress the virus, eradicate it from populations and this shows up the US Federal Governments bad policy. 

The UK is in lock step with this move by the USA,  Both regularly abuse the Veto rights granted by their presence on the UN Security Council. Yes, the council of those who hold the biggest weapons of mass destruction systems, their versions of political protection equipment. Equipment that is a threat, rather than a protection. Bullies. History. I digress.

Let's return to the lead-up to the present moment, in the UK, by way of the speech Boris Johnson delivered even as the first cases of COVID19 were confirmed in the UK, and health officials were assuring us that the UK was among the best prepared in the world.


This is the official transcript from Boris Johnson's speech on February 3rd.


https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-speech-in-greenwich-3-february-2020

"And in that context, we are starting to hear some bizarre autarkic rhetoric, when barriers are going up, and when there is a risk that new diseases such as coronavirus will trigger a panic and a desire for market segregation that go beyond what is medically rational to the point of doing real and unnecessary economic damage, then at that moment humanity needs some government somewhere that is willing at least to make the case powerfully for freedom of exchange, some country ready to take off its Clark Kent spectacles and leap into the phone booth and emerge with its cloak flowing as the supercharged champion, of the right of the populations of the earth to buy and sell freely among each other.

And here in Greenwich in the first week of February 2020, I can tell you in all humility that the UK is ready for that role.


We are ready for the great multi-dimensional game of chess in which we engage in more than one negotiation at once and we are limbering up to use nerves and muscles and instincts that this country has not had to use for half a century."


That clears everything up then. There we have it. Those who seek to protect their populations are panicking, cowardly, spineless and weak, The UK Government is strong, caped up and ready to make vast profits in this situation.

Treating the people as children.

Boris Johnson's May Bank Holiday speech was deliberately vague, and because the instructions are vague he is hanging workers out to dry.

Classic passive aggressive management tactics are to issue deliberately vague instruction sets that contain conflicts; in response, when workers exercise too much caution, they are blamed for any failures to meet objectives, and when they are not cautious enough, they are held responsible for any adverse outcomes.

The response of various experts in the fields of medicine, virology, epidemiology and public health largely critical of the lack of clarity and the lack of a science based rationale.

His speech calls for factories and other workplace settings to
restart working in the midst of a lock down, at a time when statistics indicate a plateau, rather than a downturn.

Johnson makes a call to maintain social distancing even though we know that it is practically impossible in many work and travel situations to maintain that - the Ro number is still rather vaguely estimated, and in all likelihood it is still too high. We know using public transport is a super spreader. We know that thousands of new cases are confirmed at hospitals every day, and that hundreds are still dying in hospitals, at home and in care homes and that a third of UK 15,570 care homes are hosting outbreaks of infection. His instructions and directions amount to deliberate confusion.


"The main sources for infection are home, workplace, public transport, social gatherings, and restaurants. This accounts for 90% of all transmission events. In contrast, outbreaks spread from shopping appear to be responsible for a small percentage of traced infections" source

Who will take up the workers part when they are ordered back to work, and
out of concern for others and common sense they refuse? Will they then be fired? 
What of their rights under Section 44?  What legal aid access will the have? Is this how furlough is to be reduced? The addicts pushed out to face cold turkey. They can exercise all day long, to work through it?

Bullies give vague directions in order to set the victimised up for future failure and censure. This is a known behavioural and tactical dynamic associated with passive aggressive management.

News Media carefully float in comments about how furloughed workers are taking a freebie, sitting back and enjoying the free cash, Callers into talk shows repeat these claims, and acclaim their own desire to get back to work! Underneath is the unspoken allegation of mass malingering, disincentivised work shy slackers threatening the UK Economy.

Treating the people as adults.


Other Governments and organisations are responding in ways that attempt, as best they can, to take care of the people. They are attempting to stop the spread, to suppress the virus until it is eradicated from the population to whom they owe fealty and of for whom they hold a duty of care. They are supporting their people in order to have a people, to be an economy.

 'Unless we fix the biology, there will be no economy.' Dr. Erin Bromage. Understanding the risks matters. Opinion and belief may well be lethal.

 New Zealand is one example of a State choosing to take an evidenced position in order to protect the most vulnerable people within their population, which as it happens will also be the most protective of their economy.

Be like Jacinda, Stop the Spread, Spread the Love.

I wrote a song about Jacinda  vs Boris and Donald. No fridges or golf games for her. Just the daily work of suppressing transmission, eradicating the virus. Day by day.


This chart in the link below outlines the impacts of the different policy approaches in different countries, in terms of infections or progress of their local epidemic, as a result of their policy approaches. Take a look. It's real.

https://www.endcoronavirus.org/countries

It really is that clear.


Bullies Exploit Emerging Vulnerabilities

Another way to frame this is to say that bullies will always attempt to exploit any emerging vulnerability in any family, village, church, organisation, institution or population/state where they hold degrees of power over others. 


I understand that this is a behavioural pattern, one the bully does not have to think about engaging, that it is automatic.  See opportunity, grasp it!


The bully will be behaving in an opportunistic dynamic, and will be co-opting any push back by the populations they are afflicting, so there is this push and pull dynamic that is very unsettling - this is then masked by a narrative that gives the illusion of incompetence, and that serves the purpose of throwing the afflicted off the scent, so that the opportunity to exploit the situation remains in the control of the bully.

There is also a benefit to the bully in encouraging a raft of conTheories and even in promoting them - The Chinese Virus! - some people will reject such theories as too outlandish, too crazy to be real or meaningful, and in throwing out the baby with the bathwater, they lose touch with the bullying element. Incompetence is much more comforting an illusion, and it gives the bully more more to act.

A bully can be a person, a group of people, an institution or a Government twisting arms.

Stay alert to the plays of professional bullies.

Stay Alert!

Stay home and study the matter.

Write to your local MP.  Write to the media you read.

Protect your children and their teachers.

Make a noise, stay at home, disturb the bullies.

Stop the spread, spread the love.

Kindest regards

Corneilius

Thank you for reading this blog.

"Do what you love, it is your gift to universe."

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The Fit, The Chronically ill, Poverty and the Economy - between a rock and a hard place. Stop the Spread.

The thing that strike me most about this virus SARSCOV2 is that it is a highly infectious viral infection, in that it transmits from human to human with relative ease.

There is a period where the infected person shows no symptoms,  the person feeling no symptoms is wholly unaware of it and is therefore spreading the virus to other human beings without knowing that he or she is a vector of the viral spread.

Therefore  the virus can run through any culture where there are many large group phenomena such as international travel on planes, boats, trains, shared public transport, pubs, clubs, football matches, prisons, care homes, parliaments, apartment blocks, temples of all kinds and large family homes and much else besides.

There is a blind spot among some fit healthy people that I have been feeling into and I will explore what this is in this article. "It can't be all that bad."



The dynamics of close urban living organisation and a silent virus.



In effect an invisible spread before any signs of it happening ever emerge.

Many people will become infected and they will show no symptoms at all. Their immune systems get on top of the virus before it causes any problems. Nobody is any the wiser. Nobody is at fault. We do not know why this is the case. All we have to go on is the experience. What happens.

Fit, healthy people can pretty much shake it off.  There are exceptions, of course, and whilst media tend to hype those or minimise them, we are still learning about the disease state as we go and fear is not really useful, whereas caution is.

Stay calm, act responsibly for the whole community.

For the people with strong immune systems the viral infection appears to them to be a not so serious problem. For some it's not. There is no way to predict in advance if one is one of the unlucky few. It is a gamble, a risk.

For people whose immune system is compromised, the issue becomes the disease, COVID19.

The disease is what happens when the virus begins to replicate faster than the body's immune system can cope with, and starts to impact on the body. When the body's immune system response is not robust enough to stall the viral replication which destroys body tissue.

That is what the disease is - the destruction of tissues within the body as the virus takes over cells and then destroys the cell once it has replicated many more copies within the cell, releasing the replicates which seek out new cells and these repeat the cycle, thus destroying enough cells to cause a variety of breakdowns depending upon which tissue is affected, that can then lead towards death : liver, kidney, gut, lungs and heart can all be impacted.

The disease COVID19 is really, really dangerous to a significant percentage of those who have chronic immune compromising health issues, or co-morbidity's.

That is why the Government and NHS has issued instructions to people at risk to shield themselves.

If you can imagine what it is like to live in what is called shielded status, where you cannot be touched by anyone in your immediate family, for months on end, for a year, for a year and a half. A situation where everything that comes to you has to be washed and cleaned, a situation where all your facilities such bath, toilet, clothes washing and handling and all your cooking, if they are shared,  must be policed with constant attention to detail every time anyone in your household uses those shared facilities. Imagine being confined to one room.  Imagine have to think about every move you might make outside that one room.

Add to that the conflicting narratives that percolate across news media and social media, spreading confusion and uncertainty, and then we can see that there is an extra avoidable element of situational  stress loaded onto people who are already dealing with significant stresses not of their own making.

Can you imagine living as an elder in care home that is shielded? The complexity and pressures that are added to those that already exist? What must it be like to be a carer at home?

What must it be like for carers working in large care homes?

In the UK population of people with multiple conditions is about 15 million people.  Not all are shielded of course. There are degrees of vulnerability.

In the USA it is about 83 million people.

The existing data from around the world suggests that about 20% of that cohort will, if exposed to the virus, experience severe and critical symptoms of the disease, and about half of those will potentially become fatal. Breakdown of the bodies systems and organs. This is a horrific way to die. 

How do we protect those people?

To protect the 10%  most at risk we must protect all of those people who could be vulnerable.

Co-morbidity, Disability and Vulnerability within a stressed culture.

The impact of multiple stressors on the human body and psyche that arise from living within a culture where chronic stress and inter-generational trauma patterns remain largely unresolved is well understood in the medical world and not widely understood across the grass roots.

Observe  how even media will publish articles that castigate people suffering from obesity: fat shaming is one aspect. Blaming smokers, suggesting they are doing it to themselves and should pay for their treatment, whilst protecting the Tobacco makers, even though we know that smoking involves addiction, The NHS offers treatment for that and other addictions.

There is the all too common negative attitude towards disabled people.

This makes gathering the intention of the population to focus on the needs of the vulnerable more difficult than in ought to be. Nonetheless the majority of people are decent, and will take into consideration the vulnerabilities of their fellow citizens.

To protect the vulnerable, those people with multiple combined health issues, the only proven strategy is to stop them from getting the infection in the first place.

They must not meet the virus.

We do not have a vaccine. There are no medicines that can reliably prevent escalation of the disease or can be used as treatments of the disease. There is evidence that vitamin D and C have offer some degree of immune system boost. There is evidence reducing stress reduces immune system effectiveness, so it stands to reason that reducing stress improves immune response.

SARS was a corona virus pandemic that happened in 2003.  It was less infectious than SARSCOV2  but more more lethal, with a case fatality rate of 60%, and because it generated symptoms rapidly it was much easier to trace and close down.

We still have no vaccine for that particular virus. The Governments in countries affected by SARS working with the WHO,  informed populations of the threat and what needed to be done, contact tracing, quarantine, treatment in isolation, limiting movement for a period, and they stopped the spread, and in time eradicated the virus from the population. The same procedure was applied in 197-18 epidemic. The process has been learned over a 100 year term, with new learnings since SARS in 2003. In clearest terms we know that suppression of transmission can lead to elimination of transmission, and that cause eradication of a virus that cannot live outside a human body.

We hear talk of a vaccine.

However vaccines are very difficult to make, and even more difficult to test to the degree that they can safely be used across entire populations. Such is the risk that Governments indemnify vaccine makers from litigation and financial compensation that arise when a few cases of vaccination cause severe and lethal reactions.

There are only two strategies that can protect vulnerable people in this situation.

One strategy is to isolate all vulnerable people from the general population, to isolate them from any possible community infection vector.  To enclose them behind a virus proof barrier.

That is really, really really difficult, and made much more difficult if you allow the rest of the population to slowly become infected while you wait for a vaccine. Waiting for a vaccine is not a health and safety protocol. Slow spread is not a health and safety protocol.

Those who service the vulnerable must  also be isolated from the general population.

If they become exposed,  then they must be set away from the vulnerable until they become provably immune, and can then re-introduced to continue their caring work - but they will still have to adopt clean site protocols upon entry into each caring facility as they could still carry the virus in by fomite transmission. Or they must live and work within the isolate environment of the point of care situation.

You have to somehow generate a population of immune people to service the vulnerable to maintain that separation from the virus, and you have to maintain that population in constant state of vigilant surveillance for viral particle presence.

The other way to protect the vulnerable is to stop the spread across the entire population.

That is to say to eliminate the transmission of the virus from within a given population, which leads to eradication of the virus. Stop the spread, spread the love.

This is also difficult, but it is proven. We know it works.

It was proven in SARS and MERS, and in other outbreaks of infectious disease where human to human transmission was the vector of spread. Suppression of the spread of infection, leading to elimination of community transmission and eventual eradication when the virus can find no new human hosts, and it dies out.

The process is complex, yes. It requires a lot of human resources, and a lot of co-ordinated action willingly undertaken by citizens, businesses and state officials. What makes it complicated are political and economic agendas intruding on the Health and Safety requirements.

New Zealand, Vietnam and others are showing that stopping the spread is a viable policy choice, across very different populations and economies.

Economics and Health and Safety.

Governments that have chosen the slow spread approach have all done so for economic and political reasons, not for health and safety or public health reasons.

And there is another dynamic that clouds the judgement of many people in this matter, going back to the start of this article.

Fit, healthy people are to a large degree thinking of and quite rightly concerned with how any of the protocols to stop the spread, social distancing, contact tracing and quarantine of workers, and a general shut down impacts them, their jobs and livelihoods. Because of the media narrative that the disease does not affect fit, healthy people, that many if not most will have no symptoms or will experience very mild symptoms,they are not so much worried about getting the infection and suffering severe symptoms.

Many believe that getting the infection will grant them immunity, and that as such getting the infection is desirable, to get it out of the way. This is understandable.  They have not been given the full accurate picture. 

Support - in economic terms - to take on the task of stopping the spread in the UK is minimal, and conditional and not well organised, as it was offered in an off the cuff move. This makes it less likely that working folk in the UK will readily consider what it might take to stop the spread - if your livelihood is under threat that is a reasonable feeling to have. They solution is to provide adequate and timely support. That is the job of the State in this kind of situation.

Austerity.

In the UK there is a further complication, that being cuts to public services  and the decades long policy of restricting support to disabled and chronically ill people who require state benefit support, as pursued under the policy banner of Austerity.

That the general population has been unwilling  or disinterested in confronting this over the past ten or twenty years or so in any meaningful manner is largely a matter of how media refuses to cover the dynamic honestly, how ineffective Parliament has been as a body with oversight that reins in harmful policies, and how the media and right wing politicians have been pursuing narratives that undermine empathy for people who need and deserve support - the attack on the welfare state as a thing that undermines the economy.

The UN report into the mistreatment of low income, unemployed, chronically ill and disabled people in the UK, by Government policy, was barely noticed by the population, and almost totally ignored by the largely right wing media, and robustly denied by Government, without any firm rebuttal - because there was and is no defence of those policies given the harm they have caused.

With regards to SARSCOV2 and COVID19 the Government attitude and it's stance is clearly focused on the economy, rather than on the welfare of the whole population, fit and vulnerable alike. The poverty of 14 million people in the UK is real. The feeling of deprivation amidst a growing population of billionaires whose wealth gains are in inverse proportion to the wealth losses from the low income groups is real.

Ironically, many of the fit and healthy feel as if they are being oppressed by the situation of the shut down. That said most people are adhering to the social distancing measures, and are diligent in their compliance and that is a really wonderful phenomenon - I know that most people are decent people, caring people. That decency is not reflected in the corridors of power, as the PPE scandal and others reveals.

And there is a large degree of confusion and resentment across the divided UK electorate  which is largely a consequence of Brexit and the deliberate bipolar adversarial dynamic deployed by it's proponents. So we can see that there's a lot going on here.

Protect the Economy, allow slow spread of the infection.

The confusion of political and economic and ideological perspectives in News media and across social media that filter perceptions of the nature of the threat and we have a perfect storm that creates confusion when what is need is clarity so that the population as a whole understands what is happening and what needs to be done.

Stop The Spread is the only viable policy facing this infectious disease.

Slow the Spread renders the whole population vulnerable. Loss of income is a serious leverage in deflecting attention from the realities of the Governments chosen stance. But we must transcend that and integrate it to resolve this situation.

What we are looking at is a factor that will determine the lethality of this viral infection will be socio-economic - low income population are much more at risk in any situation where an epidemic occurs.

This is born out by the most recent statistics produced by the Office of National Statistics.

Socio-Economic Status

Low income is a factor, as much as health and fitness, or lack of it in outcomes during an epidemic.

Universal Basic Income for the duration of a stop the spread policy duration could resolve that issue, and it would put cash flow into the local economies. 

Global international general trade must take second place for the duration. Internationally, resources movement must take precedence over personal travel so that areas that are less developed are more effectively supported in stop the spread policy implementation. We need every state to follow the stop the spread protocols. We have to help each other through this.

Tourism and Air travel are luxuries that must wait. Both were major vectors of the global spread of the infection. Nobody is talking of blaming either of these, and nobody should. That said, caution must be the stance, a until we are in control of the pandemic.

The dynamics of power as a factor in the exploitation of the situation.

Bullies will always, always seek to exploit any emerging vulnerability in a family, village, town, organisation, institute or population where they hold degrees of power over others. This is a behavioural dynamic, almost an un-thought about reaction other than they will think about how to maximise the opportunity - they will not have to think about choosing to exploit the vulnerability, that will feel natural, second nature to the bully.

Trump, Johnson et al are clearly part of a bullying dynamic, as are their hard core supporters. Their behaviour reveals this. The hatred poured out at those who are their political opponents, the bile and the misleading narratives with which they project and scapegoat others is well documented.

I think that British Government and their sponsors have made a  huge strategic error in allowing and endorsing a slow spread in order to protect the economy. That choice means that the hit to the economy will be much, much worse than if they had chosen the stop the spread policy, because it will mean extended periods of economic disruption as successive waves of opening up and closing down inevitably flow from the slow spread policy towards the fiction of 'herd immunity'.

The hubris and the arrogance of that decision stops them from admitting it, and now they are just bluffing through, which is why the media denial is so intense.

There is still time to stop the spread, but it means we must remove those in Government who refuse to take on that policy, because they have ideological and economic attachments to the slow spread policy and they cannot be trusted to carry through a stop the spread policy. Because they have already caused so much avoidable harm, they must be prevented from causing any more. They must be held accountable, and they must prevented from causing any more harm. The prevention of more harm has to be the primary concern right now.

We must address the issue of acknowledging that the often unspoken origin of distress, disease and ill health across entire populations lies in how power is mediated,  and where that observation is avoided, ignored, muted and suppressed - we must confront the deliberate gaslighting focus on what is 'wrong' within the individual, that avoids addressing what is harmful about the culture itself.

That is a serious problem - the resolution of which must come from a widespread, accurate and wholly evidenced understanding of the situation and fuller engagement across the population based on that understanding. Honesty and transparency matter profoundly. Spin causes harm. Lies are wholly unacceptable.






Kindest regards

Corneilius

"Do what you love, it's Your Gift to Universe"

Thank you for reading this blog. All we need to do is be really honest, responsive to the evidence we find,and ready to reassess when new evidence emerges. The rest is easy.

New Zealand demonstrates the logic and success of 'Stop The Spread' protocols. The UK must do likewise, now.

New Zealand demonstrates the efficacy of Stop The Spread protocols. 

The UK must do likewise, now.

Any delay is totally unacceptable criminal behaviour.

#StopTheSpread

Jacinda and The Little Bugs




New Zealand announces today that transmission of  SARSCOV2 virus from human to human within New Zealand has been stopped,  and that they are on the road to eliminating the virus from the population.

There are still active cases. so the virus is still active in those people - there are no new cases of infection. They are well aware that more cases might emerge. They are being cautious and maintaining vigilance.






https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/27/new-zealand-prepares-to-lift-strict-lockdown-after-eliminating-coronavirus

New Zealand’s prime minister, Jacinda Ardern, has said the country has stopped the “widespread, undetected community transmission” of Covid-19, as tough lockdown restrictions are scheduled to ease on Monday night.

Ardern said New Zealand had “avoided the worst” in the pandemic, but must continue to fight the virus.

“There is no widespread undetected community transmission in New Zealand. We have won that battle. But we must remain vigilant if we are to keep it that way,” she said.

At 11.59pm on Monday, New Zealand will lift its level-4 lockdown which has been in place for more than four weeks. During that time, almost all businesses have been closed, along with schools while the population has been asked to remain in their homes for all but supermarket visits and short walks.
Ardern said there was no way of knowing what may have happened without the level-4 lockdown.

But she warned that in level-3 there were new risks – namely people coming into more contact with others."

This proves that STOPPING THE SPREAD is the only viable, grounded protocol for dealing with infectious diseases where no known vaccine or medical intervention exists.

If we examine the case of Vietnam, a populous state with a GDP per capita of  US$2600 , we can see that the issue is not limited by relative wealth, size or population.

New Zealand, Vietnam, South Korea, Taiwan and China reveal that stopping the spread protocols cut across all dynamics of political and economic approaches.

I have written about this previously.

https://dwylcorneilius.blogspot.com/2020/04/eradication-argument-for-eradication.html

Looking into the future, New Zealand will need to maintain a vigilant infectious disease control monitoring and responding capability as a standard part of their Health System.

New Zealand will need to maintain 2 week Quarantine of all incoming passengers, which the non-New Zealand travelers must fund. Returning New Zealanders will be funded by the State. Immigrants must fund their own quarantine,

All quarantines must be tightly and transparently monitored.

These are the minimums to keep New Zealand safe.

In time these principles will apply to all States.

It is NEVER TOO LATE to implement a stop the spread protocol.

It is not a question of population size, or wealth.

Vietnam demonstrates that this is the case.

The Protocol for Stopping the Spread.

It is a question of providing accurate, precise information to all citizens, and to provide support in taking the correct action, as a collective working together to protect each other.

It is a matter of taking every case that presents, and tracing every contact of that person dating back the known incubation period, and checking with those people for past symptoms, current presenting symptoms and no symptoms.

It is a matter of assiduously continuing that process, case by case, group by group, village by village, neighbourhood by neighbourhood until all cases are tracked. Until the health system knows where every case of infection has been, and is emerging - do this until no new cases emerge.

Those presenting with symptoms must be given treatment in what we can call fever hospitals.

This is designed to isolate them from general population, so that they no longer act as spreaders of the infection. It is as designed to provide treatment that reduces escalation of their symptoms into severe or critical, to reduce the total number who end up needing intensive care.

This also protects pre-existing hospital systems, which can be maintained for general day to day practice apart from elective treatment, which can always wait.

There may be need to expand ICU capability and to construct extra isolate units away from main hospital services.

Those with no symptoms must be quarantined for the duration of incubation to first presenting symptoms.

As soon as they present symptoms, the are moved to treatment.

Then the matter of testing is about checking across the population of any given area to seek where the infection has been, where it is, and where it has not yet arrived...

These are all fundamentally simple protocols.

Their operation is complex, requiring resources and logistical support and human labour that is well orchestrated, from Government , Health Systems and Media, through to the individual citizen, working together:this does not have to be complicated.

What complicates matters are decisions based on ideological, political or economic agenda over-ruling  Health and Welfare considerations.

That cannot be allowed to happen, anywhere, anytime..

In the UK that means we must examine and hold to account all such political and ideological decision making that has caused harm to citizens welfare, and leave no stone un-turned, no policy unchecked, no error un-corrected.


As a little gift, here is a song I pushed through, rough mixed from a single live take on a loopstation at home, under lock down...


both are free to download.


Jacinda and The Little Bugs




Let us stop the spread of infection, together, as one human family.

Start today. Start now!

Kindest regards

Corneilius

"Do what you love, it's Your Gift to Universe"

Thank you for reading this blog. All we need to do is be really honest, responsive to the evidence we find,and ready to reassess when new evidence emerges. The rest is easy.

Johnson: "Protect the Hoard, let the Herd take it on the Chin." The consistent policy under all the confusion.


Boris Johnson, on February 3rd 2020, in a speech about Brexit to an audience in Greenwich, laid out the UK response to the SARSCOV2 pandemic in no uncertain terms.

Bear in that that the UK Government and Health officials had already received detailed warnings from WHO and other bodies of the COVID19 epidemic in China, and the ongoing pandemic across South East Asia, which was by this date already emerging within the UK.

The first cases of COVID19 in the UK were from a Chinese couple who had just  returned from China, who fell ill in Newcastle; their status as COVID19 was announced January 30th, they had been ill a week already.. Other cases were soon to follow, and it was know that cases were emerging across Europe. Point being that by February 1st, a global pandemic situation was known to be emerging, all Governments were alerted.

This is the official transcript from Johnson's speech on February 3rd.

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-speech-in-greenwich-3-february-2020

"And in that context, we are starting to hear some bizarre autarkic rhetoric, when barriers are going up, and when there is a risk that new diseases such as coronavirus will trigger a panic and a desire for market segregation that go beyond what is medically rational to the point of doing real and unnecessary economic damage, then at that moment humanity needs some government somewhere that is willing at least to make the case powerfully for freedom of exchange, some country ready to take off its Clark Kent spectacles and leap into the phone booth and emerge with its cloak flowing as the supercharged champion, of the right of the populations of the earth to buy and sell freely among each other.

And here in Greenwich in the first week of February 2020, I can tell you in all humility that the UK is ready for that role.

We are ready for the great multi-dimensional game of chess in which we engage in more than one negotiation at once and we are limbering up to use nerves and muscles and instincts that this country has not had to use for half a century."

Protect the hoard, let the herd take it on the chin.

Here is the video of that speech.




https://youtu.be/baWbWpOtJnc?t=536 - this link starts from Johnson's mention of Corona Virus.

Here is a more detailed report from Byline Times.

https://bylinetimes.com/2020/04/17/the-coronavirus-crisis-boris-johnson-said-superman-brexit-britain-would-take-advantage-of-the-pandemic-and-go-its-own-way-seven-weeks-before-lockdown/

Byline times have another excellent piece outlining the link between UK Military Intelligence, The Behavioural Insights Team led by David Halpern and the 'behavioural sciences' quoted by the CMO Chris Whitty and the Government Science Adviser Sir Patrick Valence.

I have already outlined in some the dynamics of  'protect the hoard, let the herd take it on the chin' in some detail, based on my observations and the evidence available prior to the discovery of this piece, which came to me via www.joe.ie   on facebook on Saturday 17th of April.

In the early party of Johnson's speech he refers to the painting on the ceiling of the Greenwich Hall, and this chimes with my observations of the linkage between this situation, and that of the Late Victorian Holocausts in Ireland and India, the continuation of the attitude and the behaviour - the actions, outcomes and rationalisations - of British Empire Logic.

"It is great to welcome everyone here to Greenwich and I invite you first to raise your eyes to the heavens


The Vatican has Michelangelo.

Greenwich has Thornhill who spent 20 years flat on his back on top of the scaffolding, so rigid that his arm became permanently wonky, and he’s left us this gorgeous and slightly bonkers symbolic scene that captures the spirit of the United Kingdom in the early 18th century.

This painting above you was started in 1707, the very year when the union with Scotland was agreed – and does it not speak of supreme national self-confidence?

Look at these well-fed nymphs and cupids and what have you.

They are not just celebrating the Triumph of Liberty and Peace over Tyranny – the official title of the scene.

This is the settlement of a long and divisive political question about who gets to sit on the throne of England.

And it is visibly resolved as you can see in favour of William and Mary and the result is stability and certainty and optimism and an explosion of global trade propelled by new maritime technology."
There you have it.

This is a very serious situation.

We need  the UK policy to move from slowing the spread to stopping the spread. This will call on all citizens to understand the situation as it really is, and to engage in what it will take to stop the spread of the infection, and in due course eradicate it from the UK population.

The slow spread policy is pretty much guaranteed to lead to waves of infection outbreaks, which in time could well lead to +100,000 deaths, possibly +250,000 - horrific deaths of people with chronic illnesses, trauma, disability etc, whose immune systems are compromised, including also those living in close confines such as care homes, prisons, temporary accommodation on council housing waiting lists, the homeless and many others  - in the UK that demographic is close to 5,000.000 people.

1% would be 50,000 deaths and we are already heading for that number, with deaths close to 25,000 as of 19th April.

We NEED to stop all incoming air. land and sea travel or impose a two week quarantine of all incoming passengers, at hotels near the airports, monitored by health workers and police.

We need to fully equip NHS and carer staff with PPE and other essential tools to protect themselves.

We need to institute contact tracing, quarantine, treatment in isolation (not at home) where interventions can prevent escalation of cases into critical more readily.

We need to start the full protocols for stopping the spread, for protecting NHS and other vulnerable demographics. That means workers must be supported for the duration, by a temporary Universal Basic Income rather than Universal credit, to bear the burden, and that money will flow back into the local economy.

We cannot allow another day of "protect the Hoard, let the herd take it on the chin" as the official policy of the UK and it's peoples.

We might well need Parliament to reconvene to remove the PM, the entire Cabinet and Cummings, and the BIT team led by David Halpern, and I would suggest go as far as arresting them for gross malfeasance in public office, (their policy decision and actions, their rationalisations of what they have been doing goes way beyond incompetence) to be held on remand until we have stopped the spread of the viral infection, and eradicated it from the UK population. They are already  obfuscating and getting in the way, and cannot be trusted to do what needs to be done.

We can address their culpability in detail when our vulnerable population are safe.


Kindest regards

Corneilius

"Do what you love, it's Your Gift to Universe"

Thank you for reading this blog. All we need to do is be really honest, responsive to the evidence we find,and ready to reassess when new evidence emerges. The rest is easy.